The Inflation Inflection
Equities: Pricing Power and Renewed Focus on Yield
U.S. Election: Near-Term Turbulence, Long-Term Questions
A close election could see increased U.S. equity volatility followed by a relief rally, while resulting policy impacts could take time to play out and may be affected by fiscal constraints.
Equity Market Outlook 3Q 2024
We remain constructive on stocks amid tentative signs of a broadening market.
Disruptive Investments Within Disruptive Regulations
(18:22) Ian Haas discusses opportunities, risks, and new regulations in the banking sector.
To Understand the Macro, Study the Micro
Right now, second-quarter earnings reports may be a better guide to the economic outlook than official statistics.
Policy and Politics
The first-quarter inflation bump is behind us, but the risks of a monetary policy error and electoral shocks have risen.
Higher for Longer: The CIOs’ Weigh In
While this year’s inflation and rates environment has disappointed many, we see it as a bump in the road that has created opportunity in several markets.
ESG Momentum in Non-Investment Grade Credit
Issuers are facing an increasingly high bar in relation to environmental, social and governance standards. Our recent panel discussion provided ideas on setting goals and working toward achieving them.
Steve Eisman: From The Big Short to the Long Way Home
(20:33) Steve Eisman joins the show to chat about his career, share behind-the-scenes insights of his story, as depicted in The Big Short, and how that has guided his investment approach and beyond.
Private Equity and the Polls
Have U.S. elections had any effect on private equity performance?
Preparing for Rising Volatility
The second half of 2024 could see the current, localized election-related volatility go global.
Un Pas à Droite?
Midway through a record-breaking year for elections, we have just been given another—and it is potentially among the most important.
Specialty Finance: High-Yielding, Short-Duration and Uncorrelated Private Credit
The underlying assets, bespoke structuring and market dynamics of Specialty Finance can complement a traditional private debt strategy.
The Importance of Active Ownership
Shareholder engagement is for life, not just for proxy-voting season.
Are U.S. and European Bonds About to Break Ranks?
The two markets have marched in lockstep for several months, setting up the potential for attractive relative-value and dispersion trades.
Buyouts Keynote Interview: Motivated Sellers Create Buyers’ Market
Liquidity challenges seem to be fueling secondaries dealflow…
The Changing Asian Landscape – Part 3: China Takes It Slow
The world may want higher growth, but Chinese policymakers are employing a balanced approach.
Consumer Dynamics Amid the Credit Crunch
(22:53) How are current consumers and companies alike navigating the current, seemingly uneasy, economic environment as it relates to credit markets?
It All Rests on Infrastructure
We see the asset class underpinning several key growth megatrends, but also the return of “big government” and its pursuit of security and protectionism.
Neuberger Berman Private Markets: Q1 2024 Preliminary Valuation Summary & Analysis
Doug Manor, Managing Director, Neuberger Berman Private Markets, provides an overview of private equity markets and an outlook based on trends in the marketplace.
Re-Rating Financials
A year after the mini-banking crisis, we see the normalizing interest rate and yield backdrop generating tailwinds behind the Financials sector.
Deconstructing Opportunities in IG Credit
With narrow spreads and supportive fundamentals, watch for opportunities tied to value dislocations.
The Wonders of Japan’s Economy
(19:03) As things are looking brighter for Japan’s economy, what opportunities could be in store?
The Structural Trends, Whoever Wins
Positioning for geopolitical shocks or election results is difficult, but we think the resulting structural trends are easier to identify and prepare for.
The Equity Breakdown: Parsing the Key Debate in Five Sectors
Five of our senior equity analysts weigh in on the crucial conversation in each of their sectors.
Why Almanac Prefers Real Estate Platforms
In this interview Wouter Klijn from i3 (Australian institutional publication) speaks with Matthew Kaplan and Justin J. Hakimian.
Do We Now Need to Worry About Stagflation?
We believe high nominal growth, peak rates and broadening earnings performance continue to underpin equity market performance.
The Changing Asian Landscape – Part 2: Can India Keep Up the Pace?
Perspectives on the India success story and where it can go from here.
De-Siloing Your Fixed Income Portfolio
The potential benefits of multi-asset over siloed fixed income management, and why we think asset allocation should be a bottom-up as much as a top-down process.
Corporate Hybrids Take the World Stage
Why a predominantly European asset class is now growing in the U.S., creating new opportunities for seasoned investors.
The Coming Wave of Homebuyers
How higher rates for longer could be positive for U.S. consumption.
PEI Secondaries Roundtable: Private Markets’ Most Undercapitalized Asset Class
In a roundtable conducted by PEI, Ben Perl and other market leaders discuss the growth potential and opportunity set within the secondaries space, while also commenting on the issue of limited liquid capital available.
U.S. Election: Age, Cash and Conflict
A political observer gives Joe Biden the edge, but thinks plenty could happen before November.
Making Dollars and Sense: The Critical Role of Financial Literacy
(30:00) With a distinct knowledge gap across the global consumer base, we delve into the why behind the lack of Financial Literacy and how our industry can support budding investors in navigating the markets.
An Ocean of Difference
‘Copy and paste’ your U.S. inflation outlook onto Europe and you may miss the opportunity in core European bonds.
The Pitfalls of Investing In Factor Indices
Factor indices are a far cry from “passive” investing and may be ill-designed to deliver optimal risk-adjusted returns.
What’s Up in the Air?
(18:17) As the airline sector has returned from years of COVID travel lags, we explore what has happened amid its journey to recovery and discover what else has transpired in the process...
Hot Commodities
We think the asset class stands to benefit from our base scenario, while having the potential to outperform and act as a hedge should tail risks be realized.
Breadth and Balance
The economic outlook may have improved, but we believe large parts of the credit and equity markets are fully valued.
Stay Focused on Earnings
Should a sticky inflation release cause investors to revise their outlook for equities?
Extreme Distortions Everywhere: A Moment for Active Management
Powerful investment themes, such as AI, can capture the market’s collective imagination and we believe can create opportunities for tremendous wealth. Taken to an extreme, however, they can also trigger distortions across and within the markets.
Make Your Money Move
(16:10) With interest rates peaking, geopolitical uncertainty and the allure of cash savings diminishing, navigating investment opportunities can be a challenge. Is now the right time to make your money move?
A Winding, Downward Path
While inflation remains a stubborn issue, the softening economy suggests that developed-market monetary easing could start sometime this year.
Breadth and Balance
The economic outlook may have improved, but large parts of the credit and equity markets are fully valued.
Broaden Your Investment Horizons
It may be time to look beyond the U.S. for equity market performance, especially if early signs of a cyclical economic recovery persist.
The Changing Asian Landscape: Japan Enters a New Era
We explore Japan’s revival, corporate reforms and where its equity opportunities may emerge next.
PEI Keynote Interview: Private Markets in Japan Continue to Accelerate
In a keynote interview conducted by PEI, Jonathan Shofet and Yoshi Yagisawa discuss how active primary fund investing and increasing LP appetite for co-investments, secondaries, and direct lending are indicative of Japan’s maturing private market landscape.
Time for the Yen to Blossom?
Strong forces still weigh on Japan’s currency, but its long, cold winter may be coming to an end.
Why This Market Theme is Ripe for Active Investing
Jonathan Bailey outlines his investment philosophy, shares insights from working with both governments and asset managers on sustainability, and explains why active investing is critical to achieving net-zero outcomes.
The Challenge of Active Engagement in a World of Passive Ownership
Jonathan Bailey shares the areas of focus driving his team’s research agenda.
Reassessing Retirement Savings with Robin Diamonte
(27:22) As retirement saving options continue to evolve, we bring Robin Diamonte, CIO of RTX, to share her insights on this crucial topic.
A Major Change in the Markets
Investors are now focused on growth more than inflation—what might that mean for portfolios?
Opportunity in the Undercapitalized World of Private Equity Secondaries
While an increasing volume of GP-led transactions is being brought to the market, there is an acute shortage of capital—providing an attractive and likely lasting opportunity for experienced investors.
Neuberger Berman Private Markets Q4 2023 Preliminary Valuation Summary and Analysis
Doug Manor, Managing Director, Neuberger Berman Private Markets, provides an overview of private equity markets and an outlook based on trends in the marketplace.
Re-Emerging Markets
After two years of record-breaking outflows, is emerging markets debt due for a turnaround?
When Specialty Finance Meets Silicon Valley Innovation
(19:55) As the opportunity set for alternative credit solutions continues to expand, we learn more about what innovations are happening in Specialty Finance today.
The Second Wave of the AI Investment Theme
The artificial intelligence investment theme made the “Magnificent Seven”—but could soon begin to disrupt it.
The Credit Opportunity in M&A
In an environment of tight spreads and low volatility, we believe the reemergence of mergers and acquisitions can be a source of idiosyncratic alpha in credit markets.
Cyber Risk and ILS
Exploring opportunities in the cyber (re)insurance market.
The Muddy Logic of Passive Commodity Investing
Passive investing in commodities is a bit of an oxymoron.
Real Estate Secondaries: A Diamond in the Rough Market?
(15:45) With real estate valuations falling and liquidity needs rising, could Real Estate Secondaries be considered “a diamond in the rough” market?
Earnings Remain Key in a Confusing Macro Picture
Macro uncertainty is high, but the earnings season has been solid—and not only in the U.S.
Inflation and Consumer Sentiment
U.S. consumer sentiment has defied predictions of excess savings running dry, but do hotter inflation data pose a risk?
2023 Proxy Season in Review
In a period of unique market and economic dynamics, Neuberger Berman continued our tradition of vocal engagement to encourage best practices from companies.
Real Estate Secondaries: A Discount to What?
Finding opportunity in a period of falling valuations
The Importance of Monitoring Credit Spreads In Positioning Equity Portfolios
On February 2, 2024, the yield spread between the Baa corporate bond and the 10-year Treasury bond sat at 147 bps—the narrowest level since 2000.
Added Value in ABS
Corporate credit offers tight spreads and a broad consensus—might the complex crosscurrents of securitized products be more interesting?
A Perspective on Private Equity NAV Loans
Net Asset Value loans have captured popular interest across the Private Equity universe.
Private Credit Is Gaining Steam—Where Do We Go From Here?
A vast menu of private credit arrangements now finance nearly every aspect of the real economy.
The News and Our Views
January was packed with news—and much of it supported our views for the year ahead.
Private Equity Outlook - 2024
Going into 2024, we believe the record-high dry powder reserves suggest potential for significant PE activity as values slowly recover and conditions improve…
Access for All
“The democratisation of private equity is about broadening access to the asset class, both in terms of who can invest and the ways in which they do so”
A New Era for Private Credit
(15:12) Will the private credit bubble burst, or is it the dawn of a lasting investment trend?
The Year Ahead for the Major Industry Sectors, Part 2
The second of two Perspectives outlining some of the key themes we think will drive the major industry sectors in 2024.
The Year Ahead for the Major Industry Sectors, Part 1
The first of two Perspectives outlining some of the key themes we think will drive the major industry sectors in 2024.
The Destination, Not the Journey
Interest rate expectations are volatile right now, but focus on the fact that almost everyone agrees rates have peaked and their next move is down.
Flows and Fundamentals
With cash rates priced to decline substantially, we think it is time to deploy liquidity, locking in bond yields and seeking out value in the equity market.
Building Momentum: 2024 Outlook for ESG Regulation
After a year of burgeoning regulatory development, we assess what may come next
What Tailor-Made Investing Looks Like
(15:48) What does it mean to take a customized approach in investing?
Poll Positioning
Voters representing around half of the world’s GDP go to the polls this year—what might that mean for the economy and investors?
Making Sense of Mixed Signals
Against long odds, 2023 marked the return of investor optimism. We examine the sustainability of the potentially precarious drivers that may be underpinning last year’s stunning market rally.
As Inflation Fades, Focus on Growth
Central bank actions could take a backseat to growth trends in pricing bonds
Outlook 2024
The leaders of our investment platforms welcome the new year with their views for 2024.
COP28: So Near and Yet So Far
Though not enough to limit warming to 1.5°C, and weaker than some had hoped, the outcomes of the climate conference are better than many had feared.
Some Credit for Active Management
Tempted by high yield? Here’s why we think investors may want to consider resisting the temptation to invest passively.
Navigating Value Creation in Private Equity
Private equity managers have several levers they can pull to create value, but which are the most effective today, and what does that mean for investors?
Behind the Scenes of Solving for 2024
(23:18) Now that we’ve published our Solving for 2024 themes, we explore the behind the scenes thinking that led us to our assessment on the state of markets.
Investors Cannot Ignore the Debt-Sustainability Question
Despite a pullback in bond yields, clients at our Solving for 2024 event were still uncertain about how to invest in a world of runaway government debt.
Breaking Down the Liquidity Silos
Breaking down the boundaries between liquid and illiquid assets could broaden our outlook and better align portfolios to our objectives and time horizon.
Neuberger Berman Private Markets: Q3 2023 Preliminary Valuation Summary & Analysis
(7:54) Doug Manor, Managing Director, Neuberger Berman Private Markets, provides an overview of private equity markets and an outlook based on trends in the marketplace.
The Art of Giving in Philanthropy
(24:54) Charitable contributions are a vital source of capital for non-profit organizations, but how do investors consider allocating to these causes within their portfolio construction?
European High Yield: A Clear Case for Active Management
Passive European high-yield strategies may not be as cheap as they appear, and may pose more risk than you think.
COP28: Expect Disappointment and You'll Never Be Disappointed
Four things to look out for amid the pessimism at this year’s climate-change gathering.
The Inside Track - Public and Private Markets Outlook; Episode 3: The Credit Continuum
(08:27) In this short video, experts from our public and private markets teams share their outlook on credit markets.
The Mortgage-Backed Moment
Securitized credit, and especially mortgage-backed securities, can be an attractive source of income while waiting for volatile bond markets to settle.
Navigating Value Creation in Private Equity
Private equity managers have several levers they can pull to create value, but which are the most effective today, and what does that mean for investors?
The Liquidity Squeeze in Secondaries
(23:05) As the thirst for liquidity solutions intensifies, are we on the brink of a major market growth spurt in Private Equity Secondaries?
The Return of Industrial Policy
As governments play a bigger role in the economy, we think businesses and investors will need to think more about inflation, location and taxation.
The Limitations of Passive Investing to Achieve a Net-Zero Outcome
In our second installment of The Fine Print of Indexation, we tackle the challenge of building net-zero-aligned portfolios.
Three Notable Trends in the World of Secondaries
Why we think macro uncertainty and the private equity liquidity squeeze are making secondary market conditions particularly favorable for targeted buyers.
Is Too Much Riding on the Tech Titans?
U.S. tech is “Magnificent” in many ways, but it cannot lead the market forever—investors may want to seek performance elsewhere.
Fixed Income: Short Duration, Floating Rates and Flexible Strategies
Fixed income portfolios are arguably most at risk from an inflationary environment. Inflation and higher rates tend to lower the present real value of a fixed income stream. The longer-dated those income streams are, the more sensitive their present value is to changes in rates—they exhibit longer duration. Should a long-term real yield of 1% or even zero be required to make inflation settle between, for example, 2.5% and 3.0%, nominal yields will be substantially higher than they are today.
U.S. Election: Near-Term Turbulence, Long-Term Questions
A close election could see increased U.S. equity volatility followed by a relief rally, while resulting policy impacts could take time to play out and may be affected by fiscal constraints.
Equity Market Outlook 3Q 2024
We remain constructive on stocks amid tentative signs of a broadening market.
Disruptive Investments Within Disruptive Regulations
(18:22) Ian Haas discusses opportunities, risks, and new regulations in the banking sector.
To Understand the Macro, Study the Micro
Right now, second-quarter earnings reports may be a better guide to the economic outlook than official statistics.
Policy and Politics
The first-quarter inflation bump is behind us, but the risks of a monetary policy error and electoral shocks have risen.
Higher for Longer: The CIOs’ Weigh In
While this year’s inflation and rates environment has disappointed many, we see it as a bump in the road that has created opportunity in several markets.
ESG Momentum in Non-Investment Grade Credit
Issuers are facing an increasingly high bar in relation to environmental, social and governance standards. Our recent panel discussion provided ideas on setting goals and working toward achieving them.
Steve Eisman: From The Big Short to the Long Way Home
(20:33) Steve Eisman joins the show to chat about his career, share behind-the-scenes insights of his story, as depicted in The Big Short, and how that has guided his investment approach and beyond.
Private Equity and the Polls
Have U.S. elections had any effect on private equity performance?
Preparing for Rising Volatility
The second half of 2024 could see the current, localized election-related volatility go global.
Un Pas à Droite?
Midway through a record-breaking year for elections, we have just been given another—and it is potentially among the most important.
Specialty Finance: High-Yielding, Short-Duration and Uncorrelated Private Credit
The underlying assets, bespoke structuring and market dynamics of Specialty Finance can complement a traditional private debt strategy.
The Importance of Active Ownership
Shareholder engagement is for life, not just for proxy-voting season.
Are U.S. and European Bonds About to Break Ranks?
The two markets have marched in lockstep for several months, setting up the potential for attractive relative-value and dispersion trades.
Buyouts Keynote Interview: Motivated Sellers Create Buyers’ Market
Liquidity challenges seem to be fueling secondaries dealflow…
The Changing Asian Landscape – Part 3: China Takes It Slow
The world may want higher growth, but Chinese policymakers are employing a balanced approach.
Consumer Dynamics Amid the Credit Crunch
(22:53) How are current consumers and companies alike navigating the current, seemingly uneasy, economic environment as it relates to credit markets?
It All Rests on Infrastructure
We see the asset class underpinning several key growth megatrends, but also the return of “big government” and its pursuit of security and protectionism.
Neuberger Berman Private Markets: Q1 2024 Preliminary Valuation Summary & Analysis
Doug Manor, Managing Director, Neuberger Berman Private Markets, provides an overview of private equity markets and an outlook based on trends in the marketplace.
Re-Rating Financials
A year after the mini-banking crisis, we see the normalizing interest rate and yield backdrop generating tailwinds behind the Financials sector.
Deconstructing Opportunities in IG Credit
With narrow spreads and supportive fundamentals, watch for opportunities tied to value dislocations.
The Wonders of Japan’s Economy
(19:03) As things are looking brighter for Japan’s economy, what opportunities could be in store?
The Structural Trends, Whoever Wins
Positioning for geopolitical shocks or election results is difficult, but we think the resulting structural trends are easier to identify and prepare for.
The Equity Breakdown: Parsing the Key Debate in Five Sectors
Five of our senior equity analysts weigh in on the crucial conversation in each of their sectors.
Why Almanac Prefers Real Estate Platforms
In this interview Wouter Klijn from i3 (Australian institutional publication) speaks with Matthew Kaplan and Justin J. Hakimian.
Do We Now Need to Worry About Stagflation?
We believe high nominal growth, peak rates and broadening earnings performance continue to underpin equity market performance.
The Changing Asian Landscape – Part 2: Can India Keep Up the Pace?
Perspectives on the India success story and where it can go from here.
De-Siloing Your Fixed Income Portfolio
The potential benefits of multi-asset over siloed fixed income management, and why we think asset allocation should be a bottom-up as much as a top-down process.
Corporate Hybrids Take the World Stage
Why a predominantly European asset class is now growing in the U.S., creating new opportunities for seasoned investors.
The Coming Wave of Homebuyers
How higher rates for longer could be positive for U.S. consumption.
PEI Secondaries Roundtable: Private Markets’ Most Undercapitalized Asset Class
In a roundtable conducted by PEI, Ben Perl and other market leaders discuss the growth potential and opportunity set within the secondaries space, while also commenting on the issue of limited liquid capital available.
U.S. Election: Age, Cash and Conflict
A political observer gives Joe Biden the edge, but thinks plenty could happen before November.
Making Dollars and Sense: The Critical Role of Financial Literacy
(30:00) With a distinct knowledge gap across the global consumer base, we delve into the why behind the lack of Financial Literacy and how our industry can support budding investors in navigating the markets.
An Ocean of Difference
‘Copy and paste’ your U.S. inflation outlook onto Europe and you may miss the opportunity in core European bonds.
The Pitfalls of Investing In Factor Indices
Factor indices are a far cry from “passive” investing and may be ill-designed to deliver optimal risk-adjusted returns.
What’s Up in the Air?
(18:17) As the airline sector has returned from years of COVID travel lags, we explore what has happened amid its journey to recovery and discover what else has transpired in the process...
Hot Commodities
We think the asset class stands to benefit from our base scenario, while having the potential to outperform and act as a hedge should tail risks be realized.
Breadth and Balance
The economic outlook may have improved, but we believe large parts of the credit and equity markets are fully valued.
Stay Focused on Earnings
Should a sticky inflation release cause investors to revise their outlook for equities?
Extreme Distortions Everywhere: A Moment for Active Management
Powerful investment themes, such as AI, can capture the market’s collective imagination and we believe can create opportunities for tremendous wealth. Taken to an extreme, however, they can also trigger distortions across and within the markets.
Make Your Money Move
(16:10) With interest rates peaking, geopolitical uncertainty and the allure of cash savings diminishing, navigating investment opportunities can be a challenge. Is now the right time to make your money move?
A Winding, Downward Path
While inflation remains a stubborn issue, the softening economy suggests that developed-market monetary easing could start sometime this year.
Breadth and Balance
The economic outlook may have improved, but large parts of the credit and equity markets are fully valued.
Broaden Your Investment Horizons
It may be time to look beyond the U.S. for equity market performance, especially if early signs of a cyclical economic recovery persist.
The Changing Asian Landscape: Japan Enters a New Era
We explore Japan’s revival, corporate reforms and where its equity opportunities may emerge next.
PEI Keynote Interview: Private Markets in Japan Continue to Accelerate
In a keynote interview conducted by PEI, Jonathan Shofet and Yoshi Yagisawa discuss how active primary fund investing and increasing LP appetite for co-investments, secondaries, and direct lending are indicative of Japan’s maturing private market landscape.
Time for the Yen to Blossom?
Strong forces still weigh on Japan’s currency, but its long, cold winter may be coming to an end.
Why This Market Theme is Ripe for Active Investing
Jonathan Bailey outlines his investment philosophy, shares insights from working with both governments and asset managers on sustainability, and explains why active investing is critical to achieving net-zero outcomes.
The Challenge of Active Engagement in a World of Passive Ownership
Jonathan Bailey shares the areas of focus driving his team’s research agenda.
Reassessing Retirement Savings with Robin Diamonte
(27:22) As retirement saving options continue to evolve, we bring Robin Diamonte, CIO of RTX, to share her insights on this crucial topic.
A Major Change in the Markets
Investors are now focused on growth more than inflation—what might that mean for portfolios?
Opportunity in the Undercapitalized World of Private Equity Secondaries
While an increasing volume of GP-led transactions is being brought to the market, there is an acute shortage of capital—providing an attractive and likely lasting opportunity for experienced investors.
Neuberger Berman Private Markets Q4 2023 Preliminary Valuation Summary and Analysis
Doug Manor, Managing Director, Neuberger Berman Private Markets, provides an overview of private equity markets and an outlook based on trends in the marketplace.
Re-Emerging Markets
After two years of record-breaking outflows, is emerging markets debt due for a turnaround?
When Specialty Finance Meets Silicon Valley Innovation
(19:55) As the opportunity set for alternative credit solutions continues to expand, we learn more about what innovations are happening in Specialty Finance today.
The Second Wave of the AI Investment Theme
The artificial intelligence investment theme made the “Magnificent Seven”—but could soon begin to disrupt it.
The Credit Opportunity in M&A
In an environment of tight spreads and low volatility, we believe the reemergence of mergers and acquisitions can be a source of idiosyncratic alpha in credit markets.
Cyber Risk and ILS
Exploring opportunities in the cyber (re)insurance market.
The Muddy Logic of Passive Commodity Investing
Passive investing in commodities is a bit of an oxymoron.
Real Estate Secondaries: A Diamond in the Rough Market?
(15:45) With real estate valuations falling and liquidity needs rising, could Real Estate Secondaries be considered “a diamond in the rough” market?
Earnings Remain Key in a Confusing Macro Picture
Macro uncertainty is high, but the earnings season has been solid—and not only in the U.S.
Inflation and Consumer Sentiment
U.S. consumer sentiment has defied predictions of excess savings running dry, but do hotter inflation data pose a risk?
2023 Proxy Season in Review
In a period of unique market and economic dynamics, Neuberger Berman continued our tradition of vocal engagement to encourage best practices from companies.
Real Estate Secondaries: A Discount to What?
Finding opportunity in a period of falling valuations
The Importance of Monitoring Credit Spreads In Positioning Equity Portfolios
On February 2, 2024, the yield spread between the Baa corporate bond and the 10-year Treasury bond sat at 147 bps—the narrowest level since 2000.
Added Value in ABS
Corporate credit offers tight spreads and a broad consensus—might the complex crosscurrents of securitized products be more interesting?
A Perspective on Private Equity NAV Loans
Net Asset Value loans have captured popular interest across the Private Equity universe.
Private Credit Is Gaining Steam—Where Do We Go From Here?
A vast menu of private credit arrangements now finance nearly every aspect of the real economy.
The News and Our Views
January was packed with news—and much of it supported our views for the year ahead.
Private Equity Outlook - 2024
Going into 2024, we believe the record-high dry powder reserves suggest potential for significant PE activity as values slowly recover and conditions improve…
Access for All
“The democratisation of private equity is about broadening access to the asset class, both in terms of who can invest and the ways in which they do so”
A New Era for Private Credit
(15:12) Will the private credit bubble burst, or is it the dawn of a lasting investment trend?
The Year Ahead for the Major Industry Sectors, Part 2
The second of two Perspectives outlining some of the key themes we think will drive the major industry sectors in 2024.
The Year Ahead for the Major Industry Sectors, Part 1
The first of two Perspectives outlining some of the key themes we think will drive the major industry sectors in 2024.
The Destination, Not the Journey
Interest rate expectations are volatile right now, but focus on the fact that almost everyone agrees rates have peaked and their next move is down.
Flows and Fundamentals
With cash rates priced to decline substantially, we think it is time to deploy liquidity, locking in bond yields and seeking out value in the equity market.
Building Momentum: 2024 Outlook for ESG Regulation
After a year of burgeoning regulatory development, we assess what may come next
What Tailor-Made Investing Looks Like
(15:48) What does it mean to take a customized approach in investing?
Poll Positioning
Voters representing around half of the world’s GDP go to the polls this year—what might that mean for the economy and investors?
Making Sense of Mixed Signals
Against long odds, 2023 marked the return of investor optimism. We examine the sustainability of the potentially precarious drivers that may be underpinning last year’s stunning market rally.
As Inflation Fades, Focus on Growth
Central bank actions could take a backseat to growth trends in pricing bonds
Outlook 2024
The leaders of our investment platforms welcome the new year with their views for 2024.
COP28: So Near and Yet So Far
Though not enough to limit warming to 1.5°C, and weaker than some had hoped, the outcomes of the climate conference are better than many had feared.
Some Credit for Active Management
Tempted by high yield? Here’s why we think investors may want to consider resisting the temptation to invest passively.
Navigating Value Creation in Private Equity
Private equity managers have several levers they can pull to create value, but which are the most effective today, and what does that mean for investors?
Behind the Scenes of Solving for 2024
(23:18) Now that we’ve published our Solving for 2024 themes, we explore the behind the scenes thinking that led us to our assessment on the state of markets.
Investors Cannot Ignore the Debt-Sustainability Question
Despite a pullback in bond yields, clients at our Solving for 2024 event were still uncertain about how to invest in a world of runaway government debt.
Breaking Down the Liquidity Silos
Breaking down the boundaries between liquid and illiquid assets could broaden our outlook and better align portfolios to our objectives and time horizon.
Neuberger Berman Private Markets: Q3 2023 Preliminary Valuation Summary & Analysis
(7:54) Doug Manor, Managing Director, Neuberger Berman Private Markets, provides an overview of private equity markets and an outlook based on trends in the marketplace.
The Art of Giving in Philanthropy
(24:54) Charitable contributions are a vital source of capital for non-profit organizations, but how do investors consider allocating to these causes within their portfolio construction?
European High Yield: A Clear Case for Active Management
Passive European high-yield strategies may not be as cheap as they appear, and may pose more risk than you think.
COP28: Expect Disappointment and You'll Never Be Disappointed
Four things to look out for amid the pessimism at this year’s climate-change gathering.
The Inside Track - Public and Private Markets Outlook; Episode 3: The Credit Continuum
(08:27) In this short video, experts from our public and private markets teams share their outlook on credit markets.
The Mortgage-Backed Moment
Securitized credit, and especially mortgage-backed securities, can be an attractive source of income while waiting for volatile bond markets to settle.
Navigating Value Creation in Private Equity
Private equity managers have several levers they can pull to create value, but which are the most effective today, and what does that mean for investors?
The Liquidity Squeeze in Secondaries
(23:05) As the thirst for liquidity solutions intensifies, are we on the brink of a major market growth spurt in Private Equity Secondaries?
The Return of Industrial Policy
As governments play a bigger role in the economy, we think businesses and investors will need to think more about inflation, location and taxation.
The Limitations of Passive Investing to Achieve a Net-Zero Outcome
In our second installment of The Fine Print of Indexation, we tackle the challenge of building net-zero-aligned portfolios.
Three Notable Trends in the World of Secondaries
Why we think macro uncertainty and the private equity liquidity squeeze are making secondary market conditions particularly favorable for targeted buyers.
Is Too Much Riding on the Tech Titans?
U.S. tech is “Magnificent” in many ways, but it cannot lead the market forever—investors may want to seek performance elsewhere.
Alternative Investments: Real Assets and Uncorrelated Strategies
Historically low bond yields, tight credit spreads and high equity market valuations raise the likelihood that stocks and bonds will become more correlated and more volatile. In our view, the potential for structurally higher inflation and a less favorable growth-inflation mix increases that likelihood still further. The traditional 60/40 portfolio appears vulnerable. We think alternative diversifiers will need to play a more prominent role, with a focus on those with particular sensitivity to inflation.
U.S. Election: Near-Term Turbulence, Long-Term Questions
A close election could see increased U.S. equity volatility followed by a relief rally, while resulting policy impacts could take time to play out and may be affected by fiscal constraints.
Equity Market Outlook 3Q 2024
We remain constructive on stocks amid tentative signs of a broadening market.
Disruptive Investments Within Disruptive Regulations
(18:22) Ian Haas discusses opportunities, risks, and new regulations in the banking sector.
To Understand the Macro, Study the Micro
Right now, second-quarter earnings reports may be a better guide to the economic outlook than official statistics.
Policy and Politics
The first-quarter inflation bump is behind us, but the risks of a monetary policy error and electoral shocks have risen.
Higher for Longer: The CIOs’ Weigh In
While this year’s inflation and rates environment has disappointed many, we see it as a bump in the road that has created opportunity in several markets.
ESG Momentum in Non-Investment Grade Credit
Issuers are facing an increasingly high bar in relation to environmental, social and governance standards. Our recent panel discussion provided ideas on setting goals and working toward achieving them.
Steve Eisman: From The Big Short to the Long Way Home
(20:33) Steve Eisman joins the show to chat about his career, share behind-the-scenes insights of his story, as depicted in The Big Short, and how that has guided his investment approach and beyond.
Private Equity and the Polls
Have U.S. elections had any effect on private equity performance?
Preparing for Rising Volatility
The second half of 2024 could see the current, localized election-related volatility go global.
Un Pas à Droite?
Midway through a record-breaking year for elections, we have just been given another—and it is potentially among the most important.
Specialty Finance: High-Yielding, Short-Duration and Uncorrelated Private Credit
The underlying assets, bespoke structuring and market dynamics of Specialty Finance can complement a traditional private debt strategy.
The Importance of Active Ownership
Shareholder engagement is for life, not just for proxy-voting season.
Are U.S. and European Bonds About to Break Ranks?
The two markets have marched in lockstep for several months, setting up the potential for attractive relative-value and dispersion trades.
Buyouts Keynote Interview: Motivated Sellers Create Buyers’ Market
Liquidity challenges seem to be fueling secondaries dealflow…
The Changing Asian Landscape – Part 3: China Takes It Slow
The world may want higher growth, but Chinese policymakers are employing a balanced approach.
Consumer Dynamics Amid the Credit Crunch
(22:53) How are current consumers and companies alike navigating the current, seemingly uneasy, economic environment as it relates to credit markets?
It All Rests on Infrastructure
We see the asset class underpinning several key growth megatrends, but also the return of “big government” and its pursuit of security and protectionism.
Neuberger Berman Private Markets: Q1 2024 Preliminary Valuation Summary & Analysis
Doug Manor, Managing Director, Neuberger Berman Private Markets, provides an overview of private equity markets and an outlook based on trends in the marketplace.
Re-Rating Financials
A year after the mini-banking crisis, we see the normalizing interest rate and yield backdrop generating tailwinds behind the Financials sector.
Deconstructing Opportunities in IG Credit
With narrow spreads and supportive fundamentals, watch for opportunities tied to value dislocations.
The Wonders of Japan’s Economy
(19:03) As things are looking brighter for Japan’s economy, what opportunities could be in store?
The Structural Trends, Whoever Wins
Positioning for geopolitical shocks or election results is difficult, but we think the resulting structural trends are easier to identify and prepare for.
The Equity Breakdown: Parsing the Key Debate in Five Sectors
Five of our senior equity analysts weigh in on the crucial conversation in each of their sectors.
Why Almanac Prefers Real Estate Platforms
In this interview Wouter Klijn from i3 (Australian institutional publication) speaks with Matthew Kaplan and Justin J. Hakimian.
Do We Now Need to Worry About Stagflation?
We believe high nominal growth, peak rates and broadening earnings performance continue to underpin equity market performance.
The Changing Asian Landscape – Part 2: Can India Keep Up the Pace?
Perspectives on the India success story and where it can go from here.
De-Siloing Your Fixed Income Portfolio
The potential benefits of multi-asset over siloed fixed income management, and why we think asset allocation should be a bottom-up as much as a top-down process.
Corporate Hybrids Take the World Stage
Why a predominantly European asset class is now growing in the U.S., creating new opportunities for seasoned investors.
The Coming Wave of Homebuyers
How higher rates for longer could be positive for U.S. consumption.
PEI Secondaries Roundtable: Private Markets’ Most Undercapitalized Asset Class
In a roundtable conducted by PEI, Ben Perl and other market leaders discuss the growth potential and opportunity set within the secondaries space, while also commenting on the issue of limited liquid capital available.
U.S. Election: Age, Cash and Conflict
A political observer gives Joe Biden the edge, but thinks plenty could happen before November.
Making Dollars and Sense: The Critical Role of Financial Literacy
(30:00) With a distinct knowledge gap across the global consumer base, we delve into the why behind the lack of Financial Literacy and how our industry can support budding investors in navigating the markets.
An Ocean of Difference
‘Copy and paste’ your U.S. inflation outlook onto Europe and you may miss the opportunity in core European bonds.
The Pitfalls of Investing In Factor Indices
Factor indices are a far cry from “passive” investing and may be ill-designed to deliver optimal risk-adjusted returns.
What’s Up in the Air?
(18:17) As the airline sector has returned from years of COVID travel lags, we explore what has happened amid its journey to recovery and discover what else has transpired in the process...
Hot Commodities
We think the asset class stands to benefit from our base scenario, while having the potential to outperform and act as a hedge should tail risks be realized.
Breadth and Balance
The economic outlook may have improved, but we believe large parts of the credit and equity markets are fully valued.
Stay Focused on Earnings
Should a sticky inflation release cause investors to revise their outlook for equities?
Extreme Distortions Everywhere: A Moment for Active Management
Powerful investment themes, such as AI, can capture the market’s collective imagination and we believe can create opportunities for tremendous wealth. Taken to an extreme, however, they can also trigger distortions across and within the markets.
Make Your Money Move
(16:10) With interest rates peaking, geopolitical uncertainty and the allure of cash savings diminishing, navigating investment opportunities can be a challenge. Is now the right time to make your money move?
A Winding, Downward Path
While inflation remains a stubborn issue, the softening economy suggests that developed-market monetary easing could start sometime this year.
Breadth and Balance
The economic outlook may have improved, but large parts of the credit and equity markets are fully valued.
Broaden Your Investment Horizons
It may be time to look beyond the U.S. for equity market performance, especially if early signs of a cyclical economic recovery persist.
The Changing Asian Landscape: Japan Enters a New Era
We explore Japan’s revival, corporate reforms and where its equity opportunities may emerge next.
PEI Keynote Interview: Private Markets in Japan Continue to Accelerate
In a keynote interview conducted by PEI, Jonathan Shofet and Yoshi Yagisawa discuss how active primary fund investing and increasing LP appetite for co-investments, secondaries, and direct lending are indicative of Japan’s maturing private market landscape.
Time for the Yen to Blossom?
Strong forces still weigh on Japan’s currency, but its long, cold winter may be coming to an end.
Why This Market Theme is Ripe for Active Investing
Jonathan Bailey outlines his investment philosophy, shares insights from working with both governments and asset managers on sustainability, and explains why active investing is critical to achieving net-zero outcomes.
The Challenge of Active Engagement in a World of Passive Ownership
Jonathan Bailey shares the areas of focus driving his team’s research agenda.
Reassessing Retirement Savings with Robin Diamonte
(27:22) As retirement saving options continue to evolve, we bring Robin Diamonte, CIO of RTX, to share her insights on this crucial topic.
A Major Change in the Markets
Investors are now focused on growth more than inflation—what might that mean for portfolios?
Opportunity in the Undercapitalized World of Private Equity Secondaries
While an increasing volume of GP-led transactions is being brought to the market, there is an acute shortage of capital—providing an attractive and likely lasting opportunity for experienced investors.
Neuberger Berman Private Markets Q4 2023 Preliminary Valuation Summary and Analysis
Doug Manor, Managing Director, Neuberger Berman Private Markets, provides an overview of private equity markets and an outlook based on trends in the marketplace.
Re-Emerging Markets
After two years of record-breaking outflows, is emerging markets debt due for a turnaround?
When Specialty Finance Meets Silicon Valley Innovation
(19:55) As the opportunity set for alternative credit solutions continues to expand, we learn more about what innovations are happening in Specialty Finance today.
The Second Wave of the AI Investment Theme
The artificial intelligence investment theme made the “Magnificent Seven”—but could soon begin to disrupt it.
The Credit Opportunity in M&A
In an environment of tight spreads and low volatility, we believe the reemergence of mergers and acquisitions can be a source of idiosyncratic alpha in credit markets.
Cyber Risk and ILS
Exploring opportunities in the cyber (re)insurance market.
The Muddy Logic of Passive Commodity Investing
Passive investing in commodities is a bit of an oxymoron.
Real Estate Secondaries: A Diamond in the Rough Market?
(15:45) With real estate valuations falling and liquidity needs rising, could Real Estate Secondaries be considered “a diamond in the rough” market?
Earnings Remain Key in a Confusing Macro Picture
Macro uncertainty is high, but the earnings season has been solid—and not only in the U.S.
Inflation and Consumer Sentiment
U.S. consumer sentiment has defied predictions of excess savings running dry, but do hotter inflation data pose a risk?
2023 Proxy Season in Review
In a period of unique market and economic dynamics, Neuberger Berman continued our tradition of vocal engagement to encourage best practices from companies.
Real Estate Secondaries: A Discount to What?
Finding opportunity in a period of falling valuations
The Importance of Monitoring Credit Spreads In Positioning Equity Portfolios
On February 2, 2024, the yield spread between the Baa corporate bond and the 10-year Treasury bond sat at 147 bps—the narrowest level since 2000.
Added Value in ABS
Corporate credit offers tight spreads and a broad consensus—might the complex crosscurrents of securitized products be more interesting?
A Perspective on Private Equity NAV Loans
Net Asset Value loans have captured popular interest across the Private Equity universe.
Private Credit Is Gaining Steam—Where Do We Go From Here?
A vast menu of private credit arrangements now finance nearly every aspect of the real economy.
The News and Our Views
January was packed with news—and much of it supported our views for the year ahead.
Private Equity Outlook - 2024
Going into 2024, we believe the record-high dry powder reserves suggest potential for significant PE activity as values slowly recover and conditions improve…
Access for All
“The democratisation of private equity is about broadening access to the asset class, both in terms of who can invest and the ways in which they do so”
A New Era for Private Credit
(15:12) Will the private credit bubble burst, or is it the dawn of a lasting investment trend?
The Year Ahead for the Major Industry Sectors, Part 2
The second of two Perspectives outlining some of the key themes we think will drive the major industry sectors in 2024.
The Year Ahead for the Major Industry Sectors, Part 1
The first of two Perspectives outlining some of the key themes we think will drive the major industry sectors in 2024.
The Destination, Not the Journey
Interest rate expectations are volatile right now, but focus on the fact that almost everyone agrees rates have peaked and their next move is down.
Flows and Fundamentals
With cash rates priced to decline substantially, we think it is time to deploy liquidity, locking in bond yields and seeking out value in the equity market.
Building Momentum: 2024 Outlook for ESG Regulation
After a year of burgeoning regulatory development, we assess what may come next
What Tailor-Made Investing Looks Like
(15:48) What does it mean to take a customized approach in investing?
Poll Positioning
Voters representing around half of the world’s GDP go to the polls this year—what might that mean for the economy and investors?
Making Sense of Mixed Signals
Against long odds, 2023 marked the return of investor optimism. We examine the sustainability of the potentially precarious drivers that may be underpinning last year’s stunning market rally.
As Inflation Fades, Focus on Growth
Central bank actions could take a backseat to growth trends in pricing bonds
Outlook 2024
The leaders of our investment platforms welcome the new year with their views for 2024.
COP28: So Near and Yet So Far
Though not enough to limit warming to 1.5°C, and weaker than some had hoped, the outcomes of the climate conference are better than many had feared.
Some Credit for Active Management
Tempted by high yield? Here’s why we think investors may want to consider resisting the temptation to invest passively.
Navigating Value Creation in Private Equity
Private equity managers have several levers they can pull to create value, but which are the most effective today, and what does that mean for investors?
Behind the Scenes of Solving for 2024
(23:18) Now that we’ve published our Solving for 2024 themes, we explore the behind the scenes thinking that led us to our assessment on the state of markets.
Investors Cannot Ignore the Debt-Sustainability Question
Despite a pullback in bond yields, clients at our Solving for 2024 event were still uncertain about how to invest in a world of runaway government debt.
Breaking Down the Liquidity Silos
Breaking down the boundaries between liquid and illiquid assets could broaden our outlook and better align portfolios to our objectives and time horizon.
Neuberger Berman Private Markets: Q3 2023 Preliminary Valuation Summary & Analysis
(7:54) Doug Manor, Managing Director, Neuberger Berman Private Markets, provides an overview of private equity markets and an outlook based on trends in the marketplace.
The Art of Giving in Philanthropy
(24:54) Charitable contributions are a vital source of capital for non-profit organizations, but how do investors consider allocating to these causes within their portfolio construction?
European High Yield: A Clear Case for Active Management
Passive European high-yield strategies may not be as cheap as they appear, and may pose more risk than you think.
COP28: Expect Disappointment and You'll Never Be Disappointed
Four things to look out for amid the pessimism at this year’s climate-change gathering.
The Inside Track - Public and Private Markets Outlook; Episode 3: The Credit Continuum
(08:27) In this short video, experts from our public and private markets teams share their outlook on credit markets.
The Mortgage-Backed Moment
Securitized credit, and especially mortgage-backed securities, can be an attractive source of income while waiting for volatile bond markets to settle.
Navigating Value Creation in Private Equity
Private equity managers have several levers they can pull to create value, but which are the most effective today, and what does that mean for investors?
The Liquidity Squeeze in Secondaries
(23:05) As the thirst for liquidity solutions intensifies, are we on the brink of a major market growth spurt in Private Equity Secondaries?
The Return of Industrial Policy
As governments play a bigger role in the economy, we think businesses and investors will need to think more about inflation, location and taxation.
The Limitations of Passive Investing to Achieve a Net-Zero Outcome
In our second installment of The Fine Print of Indexation, we tackle the challenge of building net-zero-aligned portfolios.
Three Notable Trends in the World of Secondaries
Why we think macro uncertainty and the private equity liquidity squeeze are making secondary market conditions particularly favorable for targeted buyers.
Is Too Much Riding on the Tech Titans?
U.S. tech is “Magnificent” in many ways, but it cannot lead the market forever—investors may want to seek performance elsewhere.